Despite Lincoln‘s astounding 12 nomination lead among the rest, is its Oscar sweep really as inevitable as it seems? Maybe not.
Silver Linings Playbook, the David O. Russell directed romantic dramedy, has enough love, support, and similar ritualistic qualities of past winners that make it a serious contender to over take the historical biopic.
In layman’s terms, Silver Linings is the feel-good movie of the year. It’s the film where most people that left the theater held that warm fuzzy feeling that emits when you witness something that touches you, but at the same time fills you with laughter, thanks to the script’s bluntness and the top notch acting performances. The movie simply makes you happy when exiting the theater doors, and in recent past, with films like Slumdog Millionaire, The Artist, and even The King’s Speech, Silver Linings has this certain “genre” has a fairly good reputation.
Perhaps most importantly in terms of nominations, though, is that the film garnered up not only 8 nominations, but one in each major category: Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor, and Supporting Actress. Not since Warren Beatty’s 1982 drama, Reds, has that happened, and for a film to even get so many nominations in such areas, it could be hard for it to not score at least one win. With Jennifer Lawrence being Jessica Chastain’s only real competition for winning the Best Actress prize, that one in particular is possible, but if Chastain beats her out, what else could it win? Most of the other acting categories are either locked for winners or have two other contenders fighting for the role already. So Picture? Director?
Lastly, and likely most important, there is one more major silver lining for this playbook (besides Jennifer Lawrence!): Harvey Weinstein. The executive producer has marked his name under countless films that have either landed in Best Picture noms, and many of them going on to win, such as The Artist, The King’s Speech, The Lord of the Rings Trilogy, and most of Quentin Tarantino’s movies, including this year’s Django Unchained. The two-time nominee in just this year has a whole lot of voting sway for Silver Linings and is widely known for his leeway in the Best Picture department.
And the tremendously uncanny irony that lies in this years nominations? The similarities it holds to the 1999 Academy Awards, where the favorite to sweep was war-time drama, Saving Private Ryan. Although Spielberg managed to grab his most recent Oscar with his job as director for the film, he lost Best Picture. And to what? The comedy, Shakespeare In Love. And who was one of the winning producers for it? Harvey Weinstein.
Can history repeat itself in this award season? Or is Lincoln unbeatable at this point? Will any other movies be able to top either of these? Maybe the backlash of the Academy for not nominating Argo’s Ben Affleck and Zero Dark Thirty’s Kathryn Bigelow could get them a redemption song. Hard to tell at this point, but stay tuned.
Just always be wary of the menacing eyes of Tiffany. She could be a reason in itself for her film to win.